Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 91.321814 101.711040 112.270527 123.775843 135.928709 148.355760 161.995470
2025-08-24 75.212372 90.287965 106.229253 124.218803 143.838230 164.479296 187.731740
2025-08-31 64.226174 81.769062 100.888336 123.021941 147.704672 174.173084 204.497584
2025-09-07 57.354842 76.868853 98.692241 124.491949 153.777757 185.649864 222.634378
2025-09-14 52.052766 73.135628 97.268151 126.324542 159.807393 196.697120 239.951701
2025-09-21 46.087569 68.062270 93.828114 125.425676 162.377188 203.570500 252.347547
2025-09-28 40.138115 62.506832 89.401331 123.000411 162.867495 207.819772 261.547396
2025-10-05 38.262882 61.863750 90.738303 127.265693 171.025891 220.734858 280.505655
2025-10-12 35.829695 60.292612 90.774039 129.832951 177.081967 231.151816 296.552611
2025-10-19 32.215873 56.896124 88.323515 129.198678 179.193472 236.881693 307.119987
2025-10-26 28.967287 53.748043 85.997446 128.555193 181.160534 242.337650 317.282994
2025-11-02 26.598887 51.643018 84.880573 129.305574 184.722067 249.599652 329.491854
2025-11-09 23.766312 48.702785 82.563676 128.483566 186.351860 254.600669 339.122956
2025-11-16 21.593526 46.566784 81.203887 128.795297 189.314438 261.151301 350.556583
2025-11-23 19.108425 43.750550 78.770106 127.596078 190.304490 265.262762 359.048620
2025-11-30 17.714500 42.523070 78.448657 129.093352 194.618428 273.346920 372.230916
2025-12-07 16.548981 41.568169 78.446235 130.964945 199.371584 281.943922 386.015239
2025-12-14 14.667777 39.265121 76.414877 130.047178 200.526106 286.117512 394.480355
2025-12-21 12.541008 36.324638 73.313519 127.570911 199.599563 287.676418 399.751177
2025-12-28 12.342506 36.797224 75.231749 131.925634 207.454178 300.029000 418.030754
2026-01-04 11.727141 36.452809 75.899879 134.546111 213.059863 309.609202 432.970975
2026-01-11 10.386842 34.621368 74.244802 133.898732 214.383799 313.867179 441.451937
2026-01-18 9.161181 32.872739 72.629815 133.241923 215.647013 318.015353 449.774475